Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 8.337892 9.570908 10.943959 12.589916 14.514175 16.698276 19.373140
2025-01-26 6.879202 8.507653 10.476412 13.045734 16.330570 20.416378 25.925167
2025-02-02 5.947961 7.762438 10.091110 13.326626 17.749488 23.646800 32.210861
2025-02-09 5.387152 7.346638 9.987998 13.854289 19.445447 27.354885 39.601033
2025-02-16 4.688621 6.626068 9.344283 13.497234 19.790148 29.144848 44.437533
2025-02-23 4.199976 6.126793 8.928430 13.377235 20.410543 31.351644 50.160187
2025-03-02 3.797969 5.700017 8.555914 13.252148 20.969534 33.486731 56.033074
2025-03-09 3.442124 5.299871 8.171416 13.045911 21.345211 35.334978 61.652940
2025-03-16 3.117424 4.912358 7.760876 12.738689 21.494355 36.788750 66.750855
2025-03-23 3.004528 4.851119 7.864177 13.294170 23.182880 41.130573 77.868432
2025-03-30 2.832197 4.673026 7.752105 13.456621 24.176456 44.321733 87.251199
2025-04-06 2.637889 4.438590 7.519093 13.371972 24.691719 46.658552 95.254044
2025-04-13 2.446341 4.195280 7.253405 13.208663 25.056526 48.789039 103.281276
2025-04-20 2.366526 4.142643 7.322789 13.684050 26.737345 53.814027 118.606773
2025-04-27 2.268317 4.046975 7.302536 13.979717 28.084818 58.324121 133.584986
2025-05-04 2.210754 4.020809 7.408520 14.536079 30.046546 64.447011 153.627525
2025-05-11 2.046959 3.779161 7.078193 14.159557 29.935173 65.879484 162.150069
2025-05-18 1.926315 3.611056 6.877206 14.033029 30.363179 68.620499 174.615414
2025-05-25 1.815573 3.453510 6.683517 13.901143 30.760698 71.341081 187.560533
2025-06-01 1.705554 3.288867 6.461471 13.683712 30.929769 73.520424 199.421784
2025-06-08 1.594455 3.113754 6.203546 13.359851 30.803646 74.933220 209.341192
2025-06-15 1.574434 3.124610 6.337452 13.945449 32.988076 82.688169 240.072028
2025-06-22 1.518942 3.056680 6.296329 14.116733 34.148299 87.877768 263.968894